Archive for the ‘TIC Flows’ Category

SEPTEMBER LONG-TERM NET TIC FLOWS $66.2bln, MONTHLY FLOWS $143.4bln

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $66.2bln in September, higher than expected, and following a upwardly revised $21bln in August. Monthly net TIC flows were $143.4bln (largest since Jan-06) after an upwardly adjusted $21.4bln previous (originally down $400mln).

AUGUST LONG-TERM NET TIC FLOWS $14bln, MONTHLY FLOWS DOWN $400mln

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $14bln in August, under the $30bln expected and following July’s $8.6bln. Net Foreign Purchases of LONG TERM Securities were -$8.8bln; Private Foreign Investors bought $1.5bln; Official Institutions sold $10.2bln.

Monthy net TIC flows were negative $400bln against a reading of negative $33.6bln in July.

JULY NET LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $6.1bln, MONTHLY NET TIC FLOWS -$74.8bln

Tuesday, September 16th, 2008

Net Foreign Purchases of Long Term Securities were $6.1bln versus an unrevised $53.bln in June and against an expected $40bln. Total Monthly NET TIC FLOWS were -74.8bln versus and upwardly revised $59.9bln and an expected positive $55bln. The last time monthly outflows were of this magnitude was in August of 2007, when they reached $162.5bln.

Net foreign purchases were negative $8.2bln. Foreign holdings of short term U.S. securities, including T-bills, decreased $8.4bln and T-bills decreased $4.4bln.
Japanese holdings of U.S. treasuries increased $9.6bln. Chinese holdings increased $14.9bln and OPEC holdings were up 3.9bln. The largest drop in U.S. treasury holdings was $12.8bln in Luxembourg. Carribean holdings were up $11.1bln.

JUNE NET LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $53.4bln, MONTHLY FLOWS $51.1bln

Friday, August 15th, 2008

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $53.4bln in June, under the $60bln expected and following May’s upwardly revised $83.2bln, previously reported as $67bln.

Monthy net TIC flows were $51.1bln against an upwardly revised $12.3bln (previously reported as -$2.5bln) in May.

China’s holdings were down $3bln to $503.8bln in June while Japan’s holdings were up $5.1bln to $583.8bln. Carribean bank holdings were up $17.7bln after a $13.5bln drop in May. OPEC holdings were up $6.1bln.

MAY LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $67bln, MONTHLY -$2.5bln

Wednesday, July 16th, 2008

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $67bln in May, just under expectations and following April’s downwardly revised $111.9bln (previously reported as $115.1bln).

Monthy net TIC flows were -$2.5bln, following $61.6bln in April.

China’s holdings were up $4.5bln in May while Japan’s were down $13.5bln and Caribbean banks down $7.8bln. OPEC holdings were up $10.4bln.

APRIL LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $115.1bln, MONTHLY $60.6bln

Monday, June 16th, 2008

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $115.1bln in April, nearly twice expectations and above an upwardly revised $79.6bln in March.

Monthly net TIC flows were $60.6bln, also above estimates and following negative $48.7bln in March.

China’s holdings were up $11.4bln, Russian holdings were up $17.8bln, OPEC holdings were up $3.1bln, and Caribbean Bank holdings were up $8.3bln. Japanese holdings fell $8.5bln.

MAR. LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $80.4bln, MONTHLY -$48.2bln

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

Mar. net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $80.4bln, higher than estimates of$62.5bln and following a downwardly revised $64.9bln in Feb. (previously reported as $72.5bln).

Mar. monthly net TIC flows were -$48.2bln, much lower than the expected $67.5bln and following a revised $48.9bln in Feb. (initially reported as $64.1bln).

FEB. LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS $72.5bln, MONTHLY $64.1bln

Tuesday, April 15th, 2008

Feb. net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $72.5bln following a downwardly revised $57.1bln in Jan. (previously reported as $62bln).

Monthly net TIC flows were $64.1bln vs. a revised $35.7bln in Jan. (initially reported as $37.4bln).

Some of the data seem to show a reversal of the move away from USD-denominated assets in the past few months. Most significantly, the UK increased its holdings of Treasury securities by $23.5bln to a total of $180.7bln. OPEC’s holdings increased $5.2bln to $146.1bln.

Meanwhile, China’s holdings dropped by $5.7bln. Holdings in the Caribbean dropped about $5bln as well, as expected, since several hedge funds faced big margin calls that month.

Feb. TIC Flows Preview

Tuesday, April 15th, 2008

Feb. TIC Flows will be released tomorrow at 9:00am EST. Long-term TIC flows are expected at $60bln after coming in at $62bln in Jan. Monthly TIC flows are expected at $72.5bln after $37.4bln the previous month.

Despite the net increase in TIC flows, waning interest in US Treasuries (tied to dollar weakness) was apparent in the Jan. data. Caribbean Treasury holdings dropped $8.3bln that month and are expected to fall further in the Feb. numbers because several hedge funds faced big margin calls.

Feb. TIC Flows Preview

Monday, April 14th, 2008

Feb. TIC Flows will be released tomorrow at 9:00am EST. Long-term TIC flows are expected at $60bln after coming in at $62bln in Jan. Monthly TIC flows are expected at $72.5bln after $37.4bln the previous month.

Despite the net increase in TIC flows, waning interest in US Treasuries (tied to dollar weakness) was apparent in the Jan. data. Caribbean Treasury holdings dropped $8.3bln that month and are expected to fall further in the Feb. numbers because several hedge funds faced big margin calls.