Archive for the ‘Michigan Confidence’ Category

August Prelim UMich Consumer Confidence: 61.7 vs. 61.2 Prior (UPDATE)

Friday, August 15th, 2008

Current Conditions: 69.3 vs. 73.1 prior
Expectations: 56.8 vs. 53.5 prior
1yr Inflation Expectations: 4.8% vs 5.1% prior (largest drop since Sept-06)
5yr Inflation Expectations: 3.2% vs 3.2% prior

Preliminary August UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Friday, August 15th, 2008

Preliminary August UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 62 after a final reading of 61.2 in July. The drop in oil and gas prices was a major factor in the improvement of July’s numbers, and the August reading should get a similar boost from lower energy prices. In addition, the S&P 500 has gained 2.4% in August.

The Current Index increased from 67.6 in June to 73.1 in July, and the Expectations Index declined rose from 49.2 to 53.5.

Related data include:
• August RBC-CASH Index jumped to 33.8 from 14.6 in July
• Weekly ABC Index fell to -49 from an average -43.4 in Jul
• August IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index rose to 42.8 (highest since Feb) from 37.4 in July
• July Consumer Confidence from the Conference board improved to 51.9 from 51.0 in June

Preliminary August UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Thursday, August 14th, 2008

Preliminary August UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 62 after a final reading of 61.2 in July. The drop in oil and gas prices was a major factor in the improvement of July’s numbers, and the August reading should get a similar boost from lower energy prices. In addition, the S&P 500 has gained 2.4% in August.

The Current Index increased from 67.6 in June to 73.1 in July, and the Expectations Index declined rose from 49.2 to 53.5.

Related data include:
• August RBC-CASH Index jumped to 33.8 from 14.6 in July
• Weekly ABC Index fell to -49 from an average -43.4 in Jul
• August IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index rose to 42.8 (highest since Feb) from 37.4 in July
• July Consumer Confidence from the Conference board improved to 51.9 from 51.0 in June

July UMich Consumer Confidence: 61.2 vs. 56.6 Prior

Friday, July 25th, 2008

Current conditions: 73.1
Consumer expectations: 53.5
1yr inflation expectations: 5.1%
5yr inflation expectations: 3.2%

Final July UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Friday, July 25th, 2008

The final July UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 56.4 after a preliminary reading of 56.6. The 56.4 expectation would be unchanged from June’s figure, which was the lowest level May-80.

The Current Index fell from 67.6 to 69.5 in the preliminary report, and the Expectations Index declined from 49.2 to 48.3. The 1yr inflation expectations rose from 5.1% to 5.3%, the highest figure since 1981. The 5-yr inflation expectation remained unchanged at 3.4%.

Related data include:

* July RBC-Cash Index dropped to 14.6 from 22.5 in June

* Weekly ABC Index improved to -41 from an average of -43.7 in June

* July IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index was unchanged at 37.4

Final July UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Thursday, July 24th, 2008

The final July UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 56.4 after a preliminary reading of 56.6. The 56.4 expectation would be unchanged from June’s figure, which was the lowest level May-80.

The Current Index fell from 67.6 to 69.5 in the preliminary report, and the Expectations Index declined from 49.2 to 48.3. The 1yr inflation expectations rose from 5.1% to 5.3%, the highest figure since 1981. The 5-yr inflation expectation remained unchanged at 3.4%.

Related data include:

* July RBC-Cash Index dropped to 14.6 from 22.5 in June

* Weekly ABC Index improved to -41 from an average of -43.7 in June

* July IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index was unchanged at 37.4

July UMich Consumer Confidence: 56.6 vs. 56.4 Prior

Friday, July 11th, 2008

Current conditions: 69.5 (67.6 in June)
Consumer expectations: 48.3 (49.2 prior)
1yr inflation expectations: 5.3% (5.1% prior), highest since 1981
5yr inflation expectations: 3.4% (unchanged from prior month)

Preliminary July UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Friday, July 11th, 2008

The Preliminary July UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 55.5 after a final reading of 56.4 in June, the lowest level since the record low of May-80. Record high gas prices and a 2.2% drop in the S&P since the last reading will surely have a negative effect.

The Current Index fell from 73.3 in May to 67.6 in June, and the Expectations Index declined from 51.1 in May to 49.2 in June.

Related data include:
• July RBC-CASH Index dropped to 14.6 from 22.5 in June
• Weekly ABC Index improved to -41 from an average -43.7 in June
• June IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index decreased to 37.4 from 40.3 in May

Preliminary July UMich Consumer Confidence Preview

Thursday, July 10th, 2008

The Preliminary July UMich Consumer Confidence is expected at 55.5 after a final reading of 56.4 in June, the lowest level since the record low of May-80. Record high gas prices and a 2.2% drop in the S&P since the last reading will surely have a negative effect.

The Current Index fell from 73.3 in May to 67.6 in June, and the Expectations Index declined from 51.1 in May to 49.2 in June.

Related data include:
• July RBC-CASH Index dropped to 14.6 from 22.5 in June
• Weekly ABC Index improved to -41 from an average -43.7 in June
• June IBD/TIPP Sentiment Index decreased to 37.4 from 40.3 in May

Final June UMich Consumer Confidence: 56.4 vs. 59.8 Prior

Friday, June 27th, 2008

Current conditions: 67.6 (73.3 in May)
Consumer expectations: 49.2 (51.1 prior)
1yr inflation expectations: 5.1% (5.2% prior)
5yr inflation expectations: 3.4% (unchanged from prior month)