Archive for the ‘Factory Orders’ Category

JUNE FACTORY ORDERS UP 1.7%, EX-TRANSPORTS UP 2.3%

Monday, August 4th, 2008

The value of new orders from manufacturers rose 1.7% in June, much higher than the 0.7% expected, and above the upwardly revised 0.9% gain in May (previously reported as 0.6%).

Excluding transports, new orders rose 2.3%, their 4th consecutive rise and also beating expectations. Ex-defense orders increased 1.4%.

Durable goods orders were up 0.8%, with orders for primary metals (up 5.2%) and electrical equipment (up 4.6%) outweighing the 2.7% decrease in transportation equipment. New orders for nondefense capital goods were down 3.3%, but ex-aircraft, the category was up 1.2%.

Nondurable goods orders rose 2.5% in June following an upwardly revised 1.7% reading prior.

Total inventories were up 1%, with durable goods inventories increasing 0.5%. Shipments were 1.6% while unfilled orders rose 0.9%.

Y-o-Y, new orders were up 5.8%, but durable goods orders were down 0.4%. New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft rose 3.6%.

June Factory Orders Preview

Monday, August 4th, 2008

June Factory Orders, released at 10:00am EDT, are expected to increase 0.7% following a 0.6% increase in May. Shipments are expected to gain 0.8% following a flat reading in May. Inventories are expected to increase 0.5% following a 1% increase prior, which would push the inventory-to-sales ratio to 1.24 from 1.23.

The June Factory Orders data will receive a strong boost from the durable goods sector, as the June Durable Goods report revealed a 0.7% increase in durable orders and a 0.5% increase in durable shipments.

The non-durable sector should also bolster June Factory Orders report, as the combination of government stimulus checks and rising energy prices should yield higher sales and fuel inventories.

June Factory Orders Preview

Friday, August 1st, 2008

June Factory Orders are expected to increase 0.7% following a 0.6% increase in May. Shipments are expected to gain 0.8% following a flat reading in May. Inventories are expected to increase 0.5% following a 1% increase prior, which would push the inventory-to-sales ratio to 1.24 from 1.23.

The June Factory Orders data will receive a strong boost from the durable goods sector, as the June Durable Goods report revealed a 0.7% increase in durable orders and a 0.5% increase in durable shipments.

The non-durable sector should also bolster June Factory Orders report, as the combination of government stimulus checks and rising energy prices should yield higher sales and fuel inventories.

MAY FACTORY ORDERS UP 0.6%, EX-TRANSPORTS UP 0.4%

Wednesday, July 2nd, 2008

The value of new orders from manufacturers rose 0.6% in May ,just above expectations but below the upwardly revised 1.3% gain in April (previously reported as 1.1%).

Excluding transportation equipment, new orders rose 0.4%, their 3rd consecutive rise. New orders for nondefense goods rose 0.3%.

Durable goods orders were flat, with increased computer orders netting out large declines in construction machinery, mining and oil field machinery, and ventilation equipment. Transportation equipment orders were up 2.5% with nondefense and defense aircraft and parts leading the way. New orders for nondefense capital goods were up 0.7%, while defense capital goods leapt 12%..

Nondurable goods orders rose 1.2% in May, following a 3.5% gain the prior month and again driven by higher prices of petroleum and food products, as well as a 5% jump in pesticides and fertilizers.

The value of overall inventories was up 0.5% from April, with durable goods inventories up 0.4%, boosted by a 2.5% increase in auto inventories. Shipments edged up 0.1% with shipments of durable goods falling back into negative territory, down 1.1% on the month.

On a y-o-y basis new orders were up 5.5%, durable goods orders were down 0.2%, and new orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft were 0.4% lower.

May Factory Orders Preview

Wednesday, July 2nd, 2008

May Factory Orders are expected to post a 0.5% increase following a 1.1% rise in April. Shipments in May are expected to be unchanged following a 2.3% increase prior. Factory Inventories are expected to increase 0.6% which would leave the inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.24.

The previously published May Durable goods report revealed a flat reading for orders following a 1% decrease in April. Durable shipments were down 1.1% following a 1.8% increase in April, and durable inventories were up 0.4% over the month.

Thanks to higher energy costs, May non-durable goods orders should more than net out declines in the durable goods sector. Non-durable orders gained 2.8% in April, led higher by a 6.2% increase in petroleum orders.

May Factory Orders Preview

Tuesday, July 1st, 2008

May Factory Orders are expected to post a 0.5% increase following a 1.1% rise in April. Shipments in May are expected to be unchanged following a 2.3% increase prior. Factory Inventories are expected to increase 0.6% which would leave the inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.24.

The previously published May Durable goods report revealed a flat reading for orders following a 1% decrease in April. Durable shipments were down 1.1% following a 1.8% increase in April, and durable inventories were up 0.4% over the month.

Thanks to higher energy costs, May non-durable goods orders should more than net out declines in the durable goods sector. Non-durable orders gained 2.8% in April, led higher by a 6.2% increase in petroleum orders.

APRIL FACTORY ORDERS UP 1.1%, EX-TRANSPORTATION UP 2.6%

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

The value of new orders from manufacturers rose 1.1% in April, well above what analysts had expected. Excluding transportation equipment new orders rose 2.6%. New orders for nondefense goods rose 1.3%.

Durable goods orders were down 0.6% – a slightly larger decline than in the advance numbers released last week – on large declines in machinery, computers and electronic components. Transportation equipment orders fell 7.9% with motor vehicles, aircraft and ship orders down. There were large gains in orders for mining and oil field equipment and electrical components.

Nondurable goods orders rose 2.8% in April. Much of that increase was driven by higher prices of petroleum and food products but pharmaceuticals, paints and paper also showed gains.

New orders for nondefense capital goods fell 1.5% due to the large decline in aircraft orders. Excluding those, the series was up 4%, the first increase since the beginning of the year. This is often an early indicator of capital spending by businesses.

The value of overall inventories was unchanged from March to April but durable goods inventories rose 0.6%, despite an 11% drop in auto inventories. Shipments rose 2.2% with shipments of durable goods up 1.6% after 2 months of declines.

On a y-o-y basis new orders are up 5.7%, durable goods orders are up 0.6%, and new orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft are up 3.8%.

April Factory Orders Preview

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

April Factory Orders are expected to fall 0.1% in April following a 1.3% increase in March. Factory Shipments are expected to increase 0.8% following a 1% increase the prior month.

April Factory Inventories are expected to gain 0.7%, which would put the inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.55. Durable Goods Orders are expected to fall 0.5%, Durable Shipments are expected to increase 1.2%, and Durable Inventories are expected to gain 0.5%.

Market uncertainty combined with inflation and dreadfully low consumer confidence continued to complicate the US manufacturing sector in April. There have been some modest improvements in related April manufacturing data but nothing significant enough to indicate a clear trend reversal in the US manufacturing sector.

Related data:

• April Durable Goods Orders down 0.5%, Durables ex-transports up 2.5%
• May Empire FED Index: -3.2 vs. 0.6 prior
• May Philly FED Index: -15.6 vs. -24.9 prior
• May Chicago PMI: 49.1 vs. 48.3 prior
• May NAPM Milwaukee: 45 vs. 48 prior
• April Industrial Production down 0.7%
• May ISM Manufacturing Index: 49.6
* Employment Index: 45.5 vs. 45.4 prior
* New Orders: 49.7 vs. 46.5 prior
* Production Index: 51.2 vs. 49.1 prior
* Backlogs Index: 46 vs. 51.5 prior
* Supplier Deliveries: 53.7 vs. 54 prior
* Inventories: 48 vs. 48.1 prior

April Factory Orders Preview

Monday, June 2nd, 2008

April Factory Orders are expected to fall 0.1% in April following a 1.3% increase in March. Factory Shipments are expected to increase 0.8% following a 1% increase the prior month.

April Factory Inventories are expected to gain 0.7%, which would put the inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.55. Durable Goods Orders are expected to fall 0.5%, Durable Shipments are expected to increase 1.2%, and Durable Inventories are expected to gain 0.5%.

Market uncertainty combined with inflation and dreadfully low consumer confidence continued to complicate the US manufacturing sector in April. There have been some modest improvements in related April manufacturing data but nothing significant enough to indicate a clear trend reversal in the US manufacturing sector.

Related data:

• April Durable Goods Orders down 0.5%, Durables ex-transports up 2.5%
• May Empire FED Index: -3.2 vs. 0.6 prior
• May Philly FED Index: -15.6 vs. -24.9 prior
• May Chicago PMI: 49.1 vs. 48.3 prior
• May NAPM Milwaukee: 45 vs. 48 prior
• April Industrial Production down 0.7%
• May ISM Manufacturing Index: 49.6
* Employment Index: 45.5 vs. 45.4 prior
* New Orders: 49.7 vs. 46.5 prior
* Production Index: 51.2 vs. 49.1 prior
* Backlogs Index: 46 vs. 51.5 prior
* Supplier Deliveries: 53.7 vs. 54 prior
* Inventories: 48 vs. 48.1 prior

Commerce Dept. Releases Annual Factory Orders Revisions

Friday, May 16th, 2008

March Factory Orders up 1.3% (previously reported as up 1.4%)
Feb. Factory Orders down 0.4% (prior - down 0.9%)

March Durable Goods orders down 0.3% (prior - up 0.1%)
March Non-Defense Cap Goods Orders Ex-Aircraft down 1.2% (prior - down 1%)