Preview: July Business Inventories
Thursday, September 11th, 2008July Business Inventories are expected to rise 0.5% after adding 0.7% in June and 0.4% in May. Factory Inventories grew 0.5% in July and Wholesale Inventories rose 1.4%.
If inventories come in as expected, the inventory-to-sales ratio should stay at 1.24, slightly above June’s 1.23, which was the lowest since records were started in 1992.
Retail Inventories will be the only new information provided in the report, aside from revisions to data reported already. Retail stocks are expected to increase 0.3% following a 0.1% decline in June. Retail shipments have been weaker than forecast, declining 0.1% in June.
The July Business Inventories report should get a good boost from Factory Shipments, which rose 2.1% in July. Wholesale shipments fell 0.3% as petroleum prices tanked over the period – an ongoing trend sure to affect the August reports as well.